October 8th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,431/17,434, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,876/17,434. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

* Early Pick 5/4 for us Friday at Aqueduct…Pick 5 $1966 on a $72 ticket…Pick 4 $211.50 on a $32 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Varible:

#13 Galileo’s Jewel (IRE) 8-1 AE 18 scratched
#4 Lexi’s Spirit 7-2 17 scratched
#5 Love Tank 10-1 17 4th
#1 Toquether (IRE) 9-2 16 1st $12.20
#2 Every Time 8-1 15 3rd $4.50

Race 2:

#3 Moving Pictures 4-1 28 4th
#1 Swift Tap 4-1 27 scratched
#5 Dot’s Dollar 2-1 27 1st $4.00
#2 Never Early 8-1 26 scratched

Race 3:

#4 Double Shot 7-2 28 4th
#5 In Sky We Trust 2-1 28 2nd $3.00
#3 O’Trouble 7-2 27 1st $10.60
#1 Tapizearance 10-1 26

Race 4:

#4 Berning Honor 8-1 16 3rd $4.20
#9 Smokie Eyes 9-5 15 1st $3.50
#7 Map 6-1 14
#3 Sweet Blush 10-1 14

Race 5:

#1 Southern District 2-1 37
#4 Elite Power 6-5 36 1st $3.00
#5 Drafted 9-2 35 3rd $2.20
#3 Eastern Bay 7-2 34 2nd $4.80

Race 6:

#7 Redifined 6-1 31 2nd $4.00
#1 Dontlookbackatall 4-1 30 4th
#11 Little Linzee 8-1 30
#2 Danse Macabre 3-1 29 3rd $2.80

Race 7:

#6 Shipsational 7-5 34 4th
#1 Judge Davis 4-1 30
#5 Life Changer 5-2 29 2nd $3.10
#3 Steinbeck 15-1 28 1st $29.20

Race 8:

#2 War Like Goddess 7-5 38 1st $3.90
#1 Bye Bye Melvin 8-1 38 2nd $6.20
#6 Soldier Rising (GB) 6-1 37
#7 Gufo 2-1 36

Race 9:

#7 Hang Tight 8-1 28 scratched
#6 Cash in a Flash 6-1 27
#9 Fromanothamutha 9-2 27 2nd $4.30
#3 Skylander 8-1 26 1st $12.20

Race 10:

#1 New Ginya 5-2 29 2nd
#4 She’s a Mia 3-1 28 1st
#8 La Victoria 10-1 27
#10 Russiarussiarussia 9-2 26

Race 11:

#9 Bourbon Diversion 8-1 15
#11 Guidance 8-1 14
#2 Jocosity 5-2 13
#4 Lacey Underall 15-1 12

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 13,4,5,1 *13 scratched using 4,5,1,2 1

Race 2: 3,1,5 *1 scratched using 3,5,4 5

Race 3: 4,5 x

Race 4: 4,9,7 9

Race 5: 1,4,5 4

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,1,5,2 *1,2 scratched using 3,5,4 5

Race 3: 4,5,3,1 3

Race 4: 4,9,7,3 9

Race 5: 1,4,5 4

$.50 Ticket: $72 $36.12

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 4,9,7,3 9

Race 5: 1,4,5 4

Race 6: 7,1,11,2 x

Race 7: 6 x

Race 8: 2,1,6,7 2

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 6: 7,1,11,2 x

Race 7: 6 x

Race 8: 2 2

Race 9: 7,6,9,3 *7 scratched using 6,9,3,1 3

Race 10: 1,4 4

Race 11: 9,11,2

$1.00 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 6,1,5 x

Race 8: 2,1,6,7 2

Race 9: 7,6,9 *7 scratched using 6,9,3 3

Race 10: 1,4 4

Race 11: 9,11,2

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 2,1,6,7 2

Race 9: 7,6,9,3 *7 scratched using 6,9,3,1 3

Race 10: 1,4,8 4

Race 11: 9,11,2,4

$.50 Ticket: $96

Keeneland Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#7 Morning Cup 9-2 16 1st $19.54
#4 Bourbon On Fire 5-2 15
#8 Roan for the Rose 8-1 14
#5 Pine Valley 4-1 14 2nd $4.92

Race 2:

#12 Humbling 5-2 19
#9 Alexa Lou 15-1 18
#1 Moral Turpitude 15-1 17 scratched
#4 Inventing Anna 6-1 16 4th

Race 3:

#5 Mrs. Nushi 5-1 26
#7 Big Java 3-1 25 2nd $4.06
#6 Bayshore Foxes 7-2 25 4th
#1 Social Mandate 10-1 24

Race 4:

#4 Tap in Formation 4-5 29
#3 Hurricane J 3-1 28 1st $10.28
#1 Prove Right 9-2 27 2nd $5.68
#6 Gold Luck 10-1 27

Race 5:

#12 Osbourne 7-2 32
#4 Gulfstream Way 4-1 31 3rd $3.40
#6 Ben Diesel 6-1 30 2nd $7.14
#2 Zap Motion 15-1 29

Race 6:

#6 Oceanic 6-1 37 2nd
#3 All in Sync 20-1 36
#4 Golden Pal 4-5 36 1st
#7 Artemus Citylimits 9-2 35 3rd

Race 7:

#4 Carribean Caper 5-1 35 scratched
#2 Palm Cottage 4-1 34
#9 Happy Soul 6-1 33 2nd
#5 Sconsin 8-1 32

Race 8:

#1 Vigilantes Way 12-1 38
#3 Technical Analysis (IRE) 5-2 37 4th
#4 In Italian (GB) 3-1 36 1st
#2 Princess Grace 6-1 36 3rd

Race 9:

#7 Forte 3-1 34 1st
#2 Loggins 4-1 32 2nd
#10 Lost Ark 6-1 32
#5 Instant Coffee 5-1 31 4th

Race 10:

#7 Santin 7-2 40
#2 Smooth Like Strait 9-2 39
#11 Emaraaty (GB) 12-1 38
#5 Masen (GB) 12-1 37

Race 11:

#10 Cape Trafalgar 3-1 18
#2 Old Point 7-2 17
#4 Rewire 4-1 16
#8 Call Me Fast 6-1 15

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 7,4,8,5 7

Race 2: 12,9,1,4 *1 scratched 12,9,4,11 x

Race 3: 5,7,6 x

Race 4: 4 x

Race 5: 12,4,6 x

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 12,9,1,4 *1 scratched 12,9,4,11 x

Race 3: 5,7,6 x

Race 4: 4,3 3

Race 5: 12,4,6,2 x

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 6:

Race 5: 12,4,6 x

Race 6: 6,3,4,7 4

Race 7: 4,2,9 *4 scratched 2,9,5 x

Race 8: 1,3 x

Race 9: 7

Race 10: 7,2 *2 scratched 7,11

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 6,3,4,7 4

Race 7: 4,2,9,5 *4 scratched 2,9,5,7 7

Race 8: 1,3,4 4

Race 9: 7,2 7

Race 10: 7,2,11 *2 scratched 7,11,5

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 4,2,9,5 *4 scratched 2,9,5,7 7

Race 8: 1,3,4 4

Race 9: 7,2,10,5 7

Race 10: 7,2,11,5 *2 scratched 7,11,5,9

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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