A Winning Day at the Races!

October 8th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9907/15053, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6659/15053. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Through the Belmont Fall Meet Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page weekdays, weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two day/Weekend Pass…

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Friday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 She’s the One 5-2                   16 1st $4.00
#7 Road to Remember 8-1          15 4th
#6 Holiday Jazz 5-1                      14
#5 Saratoga Gaze 8-1                   14 2nd $6.70

Race 2 :

#4 The Great Dansky 8-1             29 *Best Bet
#8 Shamrocked 2-1                       27
#2 Flowers for Lisa 6-1                 26 3rd $6.80
#5 Skyler’s Scramjet 15-1             25 4th

Race 3 :

#1 Midnight Tea Time 3-1           34 4th
#4 Dreams of Tomorrow 2-1        33 2nd $3.10
#2 Analyze It 7-5                            33 1st $4.00
#6 Hawkish 8-1                               31

Race 4 :

#5 Broadway Force 3-1                  19 3rd $4.20
#1 Sweet as Pie 2-1                         18 1st $7.70
#6 Mischievous Diane 12-1           17 2nd $8.90
#9 Celestial 5-1                                16 Tri $329.48

Race 5 :

#10 Saratoga Chrome 8-5             16 2nd $2.20
#6 Skyward Princess 9-2               15
#8 Preposterous 6-1                       14 4th
#4 Cupere 6-1                                  13

Race 6 :

#6 Playwright 9-2                           27
#5 Kumar 9-2                                   26
#2 Big Mountain 5-1                       25
#7 Paul the Waiter 5-1                    24

Race 7 :

#11 Fraudulent Charge 6-1           30
#7 Sassy Melissa 6-1                       28
#8 Khali Magic 20-1                        27
#3 Hohohoho 9-2                             26

Race 8 :

#8 Purple Hearted 9-2                    29
#5 Big Castle 8-1                             28
#6 Our Man Mike 5-1                      27
#4 Great Workout 3-1                     27

Race 9 :

#1 Tara Dancer 6-1                           17
#10 Lady of Thoroton 6-1               16
#9 Shigeko 8-1                                   15
#5 Russiarussiarussia 3-1                15

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,7,6,5 2

Race 2 :  4,8 x

Race 3 :  1,4,2 2

Race 4 :  5,1 1

Race 5 :  10,6 *6 scratched using 10,8 x

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  4,8 x

Race 3 :  1,4,2 2

Race 4 :  5,1,6,9 1

Race 5 :  10,6,8 *6 scratched 10,8,4 x

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  5,1 1

Race 5 :  10,6,8 *6 scratched 10,8,4 x

Race 6 :  6,5,2

Race 7 :  11,7 *11 scratched using 7,8

Race 8 :  8,5

Race 9 :  1,10 *1 scratched using 10,9

$1.00 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  10,6,8 x

Race 6 :  6,5,2

Race 7 :  11,7 *11 scratched using 7,8

Race 8 :  8,5,6

Race 9 :  1,10,9 *1 scratched using 10,9,5

$.50 Ticket :  $81

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  6,5,2,7

Race 7 :  11,7

Race 8 :  8,5,6,4

Race 9 :  1,10,9,5

$.50 Ticket :  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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