September 15th , 2020 Free Pick & Plays

• September 14, 2020
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8457/12728, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5554/12728. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Sunday’s Full Card Kentucky Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Kentucky Downs Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#5 Joyful Surprise 4-1                   18 3rd $2.80
#6 Jealous Eyes 8-1                        17 4th
#2 Treasury 5-1                              16
#7 Telephone Talker 8-5               16 2nd $2.60

Race 2 :

#4 Fun Paddy 8-1                            27
#8 Barrel of Destiny 2-1                 26 2nd $4.80
#6 Gamblin Train 3-1                     25 3rd $3.20
#1 Gianna’s Gift 9-2                        25

Race 3 :

#1 Arm Candy 10-1                        18 1st $31.40
#3 Epicurean 3-1                             18
#5 Amalfi Princess 8-1                   17 3rd $4.20
#4 It Was Meant to Be 8-1             17

Race 4 :

#5 Zero to Sixty 9-5                        29 4th
#7 Moravia (GB) 4-1                       28
#8 Jades Gelly 7-2                            27 2nd $5.40
#1 Violenza 10-1                              27 1st $36.40

Race 5 :

#5 Cashanova 3-1                            30 4th
#1 Armchair Jockey 5-2                  28
#9 Basha 6-1                                     27 3rd $4.40
#2 Kurilov (CHI) 9-2                        26 2nd $4.40

Race 6 :

#5 Suggested 3-1                             14 2nd $5.00
#8 Last City 9-2                                13
#6 Copper King 2-1                         12 3rd $3.00
#2 Tiz Light the Way 4-1                11 4th

Race 7 :

#7 Power End 3-1                            31 3rd $2.20
#4 Hay Dakota 8-5                          30 1st $5.00
#5 By Your Side 5-2                        30 2nd $3.80 Tri $35.80
#1 Mishko 5-1                                  29

Race 8 :

#3 Miner’s Queen 5-1                    19
#10 Point of Infinity 9-2                18 scratched
#9 Palm Court 4-1                           17
#5 Train to Artemus 3-1                 16 3rd $2.80

Race 9 :

#3 Mrs. Sippy 1-1                             36 2nd $2.40
#4 English Affair 7-2                       34 4th
#2 Theodora B. 5-2                          33 1st $8.20
#1 Delta’s Kingdom 20-1                31 3rd $3.40 Spr $205.80

Race 10 :

#3 Red Ghost 3-1                             29
#11 Emro 6-1                                    29 1st $16.80
#10 La Libertee 9-2                         28
#5 Herald Angel 12-1                      28

Race 11 :

#6 She’s My Type (FR) 5-1             33
#10 Kimari 3-1                                  32 3rd $3.20
#5 Enola Gay 9-2                              32
#9 Lighthouse 8-1                            32 1st $24.00

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.