September 12th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

• September 11, 2020
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8447/12717, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5549/12717. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Saturday’s Full Card Kentucky Downs Picks/Plays Below…

Kentucky Downs Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Miss Pinkerton 6-1                  26
#4 Keep Your Distance 8-5          26 4th
#6 Heaven Escape 9-2                  25 2nd $4.40
#3 French Rose 6-1                       25

Race 2 :

#3 Glynn County 4-1                    18 1st $9.60
#4 Summer Palace 9-2                  17 3rd $3.00
#7 Vasariano 8-1                            17
#1 Briefcase Bully 5-2                   16 2nd $3.60

Race 3 :

#7 Bourbon in May 2-1                  31 1st $4.60
#8 Kendama 15-1                            30
#1 Sharecropper 5-1                       29 2nd $5.60
#5 Vintage Kitten 20-1                  28

Race 4 :

#1 Scarabea 6-1                                18 2nd $5.20
#6 One Fast Orb 3-1                        17
#9 Golden Voice 6-1                        16 1st $18.00
#5 Klayton’s Kandy 8-1                   15

Race 5 :

#7 Kentucky Ghost 10-1                  30 2nd $11.80
#9 Tide of the Sea 9-5                      30 1st $4.00 Ex $41.00
#8 Captain Hardship 8-1                 29
#1 King of Fortune 15-1                  28

Race 6 :

#1 Bluegrass Pharoah 4-1                18
#4 Private Island 3-1                         17 1st $7.20
#11 Trapiche 15-1                              16
#2 Incitatus 8-1                                  15

Race 7 :

#3 Tapit Today 5-1                            34 3rd $2.80
#8 Secret Message 4-1                      33
#4 English Affair 6-1                         32 scratched
#6 Regal Glory 9-5                             32 1st $4.80

Race 8 :

#7 Cariba 8-1                                       36
#11 Kimari 4-1                                    35 scratched
#6 Mentality 15-1                               35
#8 Got Stormy 2-1                              34 1st $5.80

Race 9 :

#4 County Final 9-2                          33 4th
#9 Outadore 2-1                                 32 1st $5.60
#10 Fauci 5-2                                      31 2nd $3.20
#6 Bodenheimer 6-1                          29

Race 10 :

#2 Red Knight 12-1                            36 2nd $5.80
#6 Postulation 8-1                              35
#10 Zulu Alpha 7-5                             34 3rd $2.10
#3 Grand Journey 15-1                       33

Race 11 :

#4 Totally Boss 9-2                            38
#9 Imprimis 8-1                                  37 1st $8.00
#6 Kanthaka 5-1                                  37
#2 Stubbins 6-1                                   36 4th

Kentucky Downs Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,4,6,3 x

Race 2 :  3,4,7,1 3

Race 3 :  7,8,1 7

Race 4 :  1,6,9 9

Race 5 :  7,9 9

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  3,4,7,1 3

Race 3 :  7,8,1,5 7

Race 4 :  1,6,9 9

Race 5 :  7,9 9

$.50 Ticket :  $48 $130.45

Late Pick 5 :

Race 7 :  3,8,4,6 6

Race 8 :  7,11,6,8 8

Race 9 :  4,9,10 9

Race 10 : 2,6,10 x

Race 11 :  4,9 9

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  7,11,6,8 8

Race 9 :  4,9 9

Race 10 : 2,6,10,3 x

Race 11 :  4,9,6,2 9

$.50 Ticket :  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.