A Winning Day at the Races!
September 3rd, 2022 Free Picks & Plays
*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…
*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,290/17,216, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,762/17,216. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*We got home our Pick 6, Early/Late Pick 4, and Late Pick 5 Plays yesterday…Pick 6 $159,639 on a $144 ticket…Early Pick 4 $821.50 on a $96 ticket…Late Pick 5 $1139.75 on a $144 ticket…Late Pick 4 $459.75 on a $72 ticket…
*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…
Saratoga Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Fly Right 12-1 19 2nd $6.90
#8 General Jim 3-1 19 1st $9.50 Ex $60.50
#3 Ari Gold 2-1 18 4th
#9 Impeccability 10-1 18
Race 2:
#7 Powerful 2-1 20 1st $3.20
#1 Full Moon Madness 7-2 19 3rd $2.60
#8 Upgrade 4-1 18
#6 Parkway 8-1 18 4th
Race 3:
#6 Up to the Mark 2-1 32 3rd $2.60
#5 Strong Quality 6-1 31 2nd $4.60
#1 Aussie Pride 6-1 30 4th
#4 Tiwanaku 4-1 29
Race 4:
#3 Annapolis 2-5 34 1st $2.30
#1 Celestial City 3-1 33 2nd $2.10
#2 Piqua 12-1 32 scratched
#5 Fuerteventura 6-1 31 2nd $2.10
Race 5:
#11 Mister Chairman 7-2 29
#4 Blinding Light 4-1 28 4th
#10 Sugar Gray Leonard 20-1 28 2nd $26.40
#6 Leddy 15-1 27 scratched
Race 6:
#9 Champions Dream 5-2 20 1st $4.60
#10 Cagliostro 8-1 20
#7 Desert Wolf 10-1 19
#3 Jungfrau 10-1 18 4th
Race 7:
#5 Elite Power 5-2 34 1st $4.20 Dbl $13.20
#1a Amundson 3-1 33
#2 Higher Standard 5-1 32 4th
#4 Cost Basis 10-1 31
Race 8:
#8 Juan Valdez 5-1 20
#3 Arthur’s Ride 7-2 19 2nd $4.70
#10 Crupi 5-2 19 3rd $2.60
#4 Dubyuhnell 8-1 18 4th
Race 9:
#2 Analyze It 5-2 36 2nd $4.20
#9 Ocean Atlantique 6-1 35 4th
#10 Eyes On Target 7-2 34 3rd $3.20
#6 Monition 8-1 33
Race 10:
#4 War Like Goddess 2-5 37 2nd $2.10
#3 Virginia Joy (GER) 7-2 35 1st $11.80 Ex $15
#6 Temple City Terror 8-1 34 4th
#1 Capital Structure (GB) 15-1 33 scratched
Race 11:
#8 Dynamic One 7-2 42
#5 Americanrevolution 3-1 41 2nd $3.20
#6 First Captain 4-1 40 3rd $3.40
#2 Olympiad 2-1 40 1st $5.40
Race 12:
#4 Notable Exception 9-2 28 scratched
#3 Mr Breadwinner 9-2 27 1st $8.10
#2 Iron Lion in Zion 20-1 26
#6 Patient Capital 5-1 26 2nd $5.00
Race 13:
#5 My Cara Mia Mine 8-1 16
#8 Izeamalibumoon 7-2 15
#9 Eli Dancer 5-1 14 3rd $4.20
#4 Mo Damorninggrouch 12-1 13 2nd $9.00
Saratoga Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,8,3,9 8
Race 2: 7,1,8,6 7
Race 3: 6,5,1 x
Race 4: 3,1 3
Race 5: 11,4,10,6 *6 scratched using 11,4,10,1 x
$.50 Ticket: $192
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 7,1,8,6 7
Race 3: 6,5,1,4 x
Race 4: 3,1 3
Race 5: 11,4,10,6 *6 scratched using 11,4,10,1 x
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (4-8):
Race 4: 3,1 3
Race 5: 11,4,10 x
Race 6: 9,10,7,3 9
Race 7: 5,1a/1,2 5
Race 8: 8,3,10 x
$.50 Ticket: $108
Pick 4 (5-8):
Race 5: 11,4,10,6 *6 scratched using 11,4,10,1 x
Race 6: 9,10,7,3 9
Race 7: 5,1a/1 5
Race 8: 8,3,10,4 x
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 4 (7-10):
Race 7: 5,1a/1,2 5
Race 8: 8,3,10,4 x
Race 9: 2,9,10 x
Race 10: 4,3 3
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 6:
Race 8: 8,3,10 x
Race 9: 2,9,10 x
Race 10: 4 x
Race 11: 8,5 x
Race 12: 4,3,2,6 *4 scratched using 3,2,6,10 3
Race 13: 5,8,9 x
$1.00 Ticket: $216
Late Pick 5:
Race 9: 2,9,10,6 x
Race 10: 4,3 3
Race 11: 8,5,6,2 2
Race 12: 4,3 *4 scratched using 3,2 3
Race 13: 5,8,9,4 x
$.50 Ticket: $128
Late Pick 4:
Race 10: 4,3 3
Race 11: 8,5,6,2 2
Race 12: 4,3,2,6 *4 scratched using 3,2,6,10 3
Race 13: 5,8,9,4 x
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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