A Winning Day at the Races!
September 4th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays
*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…
*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,299/17,229, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,772/17,229. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*We got home our Pick 6, Early/Late Pick 4, and Late Pick 5 Plays on Friday’s Saratoga card…Pick 6 $159,639 on a $144 ticket…Early Pick 4 $821.50 on a $96 ticket…Late Pick 5 $1139.75 on a $144 ticket…Late Pick 4 $459.75 on a $72 ticket…
*Sunday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays…
Saratoga Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#3 Nobilis 6-1 18 scratched
#1 Joyful Ghost 10-1 17 scratched
#2 Bobby the Tank 5-2 16 3rd $2.50
#10 Chasin’ You 8-1 15
Race 2:
#3 Happy Farm 7-5 34 2nd $2.30
#2 Greeley and Ben 2-1 33 1st $7.50 Ex $10.80
#6 Montauk Daddy 9-2 32
#1 Big Engine 10-1 30 3rd $2.50
Race 3:
#7 Charge Account 3-1 28 4th
#3 Blue Atlas 5-2 27
#5 Adelaide Miss 5-1 26 3rd $4.70
#2 State Crown 7-2 26
Race 4:
#5 Cousteau 5-2 29 1st $6.30
#10 Ampersand 7-2 28 3rd $2.60
#4 Charger 6-1 27
#2 Critical Threat 9-2 27 2nd $4.10
Race 5:
#6 Sheriff Bianco 8-5 28 3rd $2.90
#8 Athenry 5-2 28 4th
#1 Golquist 7-2 27
#5 Storm Shooter 10-1 26
Race 6:
#4 Pure Pauline 3-1 20 4th
#3 St. Benedicts Prep 4-1 19
#1a Renegade Rebel 4-1 18
#5 Stunningly 8-1 18
Race 7:
#4 Free Look 3-1 18 1st $3.50
#9 Avant 6-1 17
#3 La Mazel 5-1 17 4th
#6 Thirty Thou Kelvin 10-1 16 3rd $6.10
Race 8:
#4 Boston Post Road 2-1 33 2nd $2.10
#1 Piece of My Heart 7-2 31 scratched
#6 Palm Cottage 9-5 30 1st $5.40
#7 Dealing Justice 8-1 28 scratched
Race 9:
#5 Frank’s Art 5-2 29 3rd $2.90
#1a Catch That Party 2-1 28 1st $5.30
#10 Citizen K 10-1 27 2nd $5.90 Tri $67.48
#8 Top Envoy 12-1 27
Race 10:
#3 La Victoria 3-1 16 1st $6.30
#2 Succulent 7-2 15 3rd $2.40
#7 Arisaema 5-1 15 scratched
#4 Cape Cod Causeway 5-1 14 2nd $4.70 Tri $58
Race 11:
#10 American Rockette 6-1 32 4th
#6 Leave No Trace 8-1 31 1st $31.60
#9 Wonder Wheel 3-1 31 2nd $3.90
#4 Naughty Gal 8-1 30
Race 12:
#1 Tough Street 1-1 16 1st e $3.00
#2 Caiarossa 20-1 14
#7 Dorothy’s the Boss 10-1 13
#10 Roz 10-1 12
Saratoga Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 3,1,2,10 *3 & 1 scratched using 2,10,8,11 8
Race 2: 3,2 2
Race 3: 7,3,5 x
Race 4: 5,10 5
Race 5: 6,8 x
$.50 Ticket: $48
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3,2 2
Race 3: 7,3,5,2 x
Race 4: 5,10,4,2 5
Race 5: 6,8,1,5 x
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 6,8,1 x
Race 6: 4,3,1a/1 x
Race 7: 4,9,3 4
Race 8: 4,1,6 6
Race 9: 5,1a/1 1a
$.50 Ticket: $81
Pick 4 (6-9):
Race 6: 4,3,1a/1,5 x
Race 7: 4,9,3 4
Race 8: 4,1,6 6
Race 9: 5,1a/1 1a
$.50 Ticket: $27
Pick 6:
Race 7: 4,9,3 4
Race 8: 4,1 x
Race 9: 5,1a/1 1a
Race 10: 3 3
Race 11: 10,6,9,4 6
Race 12: 1 1
$1.00 Ticket: $48
Late Pick 5:
Race 8: 4,1,6 6
Race 9: 5,1a/1 1a
Race 10: 3,2,7 3
Race 11: 10,6,9,4 6
Race 12: 1,2,7 1
$.50 Ticket: $144 $189
Late Pick 4:
Race 9: 5,1a/1 1a
Race 10: 3,2,7,4 3
Race 11: 10,6,9,4 6
Race 12: 1,2,7,10 1
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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