September 5th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

• September 5, 2022
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,308/17,241, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,779/17,241. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*We got home our Pick 6, Early/Late Pick 4, and Late Pick 5 Plays on Friday’s Saratoga card…Pick 6 $159,639 on a $144 ticket…Early Pick 4 $821.50 on a $96 ticket…Late Pick 5 $1139.75 on a $144 ticket…Late Pick 4 $459.75 on a $72 ticket…

*Monday’s Labor Day Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#10 Luna’s Song 9-2                   17
#7 Bode’s Girl 6-1                        16 3rd $5.40
#8 Three Girls 4-1                        15
#1 Kara Para 6-1                           15 4th

Dirt Selections

#10 Luna’s Song 9-2
#16 Boogie Down Bronx 4-1
#13 Showemyourheels 5-2
#7 Bode’s Girl 6-1
#1 Kara Para 6-1
#8 Three Girls 4-1

Race 2:

#9 Eternal Glory 20-1                 17 scratched
#6 Blame It On Daddy 2-1         17 1st $7.10
#5 Atlanta’s Acuna 4-1               16 4th
#3 Uncle Marty 6-1                      15 2nd $5.20

Race 3:

#6 Emaraaty (GB) 6-1                 38 1st $14.60
#5 City Man 8-5                           38 2nd $3.90 Ex $30.40
#3 Dynadrive 6-1                         36 Dbl $50.50
#2 Mouillage (FR) 2-1                 36

Dirt Selections

#3 Dynadrive 6-1
#5 City Man 8-5

Race 4:

#3 Crowding Out 1-1                    30 1st $3.30 Dbl $22.20
#1 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 6-1             28 scratched Pk 3 $62.50
#12 Silken Dollar 8-1                    27 scratched
#8 Mostly Harmless 15-1             26 4th

Dirt Selections

#3 Crowding Out 1-1
#13 True Empress 7-2
#14 Unlock 4-1
#12 Silken Dollar 8-1
#8 Mostly Harmless 15-1

Race 5:

#6 Backyard Money 9-5                29 1st $4.30 Pk 3 $55.50
#4 She Caught My Eye 3-1           28
#1 Spooky Road 8-1                       27 scratched
#3 Daily Briefing 8-1                     26 4th

Race 6:

#6 Waterville 9-2                            30 3rd $2.80
#1 Whatlovelookslike 7-2             29 1st $5.60
#2 New Ginya 4-1                           28 2nd $4.80 Tri $70
#9 Stella Mars 6-1                           27

Dirt Selections

#12 Sweet Mystery 8-5
#13 Caramocha 5-2
#2 New Ginya 4-1
#9 Stella Mars 6-1

Race 7:

#9 Wanna Winna 12-1                    17 scratched
#1 Leftembehind 6-1                      16 scratched
#5 Lt. Mitchell 15-1                         15 3rd $5.20
#3 Artic Arrogance 5-2                   15 1st $7.20

Race 8:

#7 Portos 9-2                                    33 2nd $3.90
#2 Air Attack 4-1                             32
#9 Bal Harbour 8-1                          31 1st $21.20
#5 War Stopper 8-1                         30 3rd $3.80

Race 9:

#7 Splendid Summer 8-1                30
#9 War Strategy 8-1                         29
#11 Inflation Adjusted 8-1             28
#1 Digital Software 3-1                   28

Dirt Selections

#16 Bold Victory 8-5 1st $3.20
#10 I Am the Law 20-1 2nd $4.00 Ex $13.80
#15 Corkman 7-2 3rd $2.50 Tri $27.20
#5 Voliero 8-1 scratched
#3 Grecian Pharoah 30-1

Race 10:

#7 Wicked Hot 6-1                            31
#5 Shalimar Gardens 3-1                 30
#1 Cocktail Moments 5-1                29 1st $7.30
#3 Jane Grey 9-2                                28 2nd $4.50

Race 11:

#5 Mo Strike 5-2                                34 4th
#6 Blazing Sevens 4-1                      33 3rd $3.20
#4 Gulfport 9-5                                  32 2nd $2.70
#3 Bourbon Bash 6-1                        31

Race 12:

#1 Cupid’s Heart 7-2                         29 1st $4.00
#6 Ribot’s Valentine 5-1                   28 3rd $2.90
#2 Tosconova Beauty 9-2                 27 2nd $3.00 Tri $32.40
#5 Juliana’s Rose 10-1                       27 4th Spr $155

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  10,7,8,1 Dirt: 10,16,13,7 x

Race 2:  9,6,5,3 *9 scratched using 6,5,3,1 6

Race 3:  6,5 6

Race 4:  3,1 Dirt: 3,13 *1 scratched using 3,12 3

Race 5:  6,4 6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  9,6,5,3 *9 scratched using 6,5,3,1 6

Race 3:  6,5 6

Race 4:  3,1,12 Dirt: 3,13,14 *1 scratched using 3,12,8 3

Race 5:  6,4,1,3 6

$.50 Ticket:  $36 $39.62

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  6,4,1 *1 scratched using 6,4,3 6

Race 6:  6,1 Dirt: 12,13 1

Race 7:  9,1,5,3 *9 scratched using 1,5,3,8 3

Race 8:  7,2,9 9

Race 9:  7,9,11,1 Dirt; 16,10,15,5 16 

$.50 Ticket:  $144 $81 $192.50 

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  6,1,2,9 Dirt: 12,13,2,9 1

Race 7:  9,1,5,3 *9 scratched using 1,5,3,8 3

Race 8:  7,2,9 9

Race 9:  7,9,11,1 Dirt; 16,10,15,5 16

$.50 Ticket:  $96 $54$83.62

Pick 6:

Race 7:  9,1,5,3 *9 scratched using 1,5,3,8 3

Race 8:  7,2,9 9

Race 9:  7,9,11,1 Dirt; 16,10,15,5 16

Race 10: 7,5,1 1

Race 11:  5 x

Race 12:  1,6 1

$1.00 Ticket:  $288

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  7,2,9,5 9

Race 9:  7,9,11,1 Dirt; 16,10,15,5 16

Race 10: 7,5,1 1

Race 11:  5,6,4 x

Race 12:  1,6 1

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  7,9,11,1 Dirt; 16,10,15,5 16

Race 10: 7,5,1,3 1

Race 11:  5,6,4 x

Race 12:  1,6,2,5 1

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.