September 7th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

• September 6, 2020
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8437/12703, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5542/12703. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Top Choice “Authentic” pays $18.80 in the Kentucky Derby…

*Full Card Labor Day Saratoga Picks Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#8 Go Get the Basil 8-1 3rd $3.40
#2 Iranistan 9-5 1st $6.30
#1 Cracker Factory (GB) 12-1 4th
#6 Bodes Well (IRE) 7-2

Race 2 :

#2 Build to Suit 6-5                         33 scratched
#1a The Caretaker 4-1                    32 2nd $4.30
#3 Fort Worth 8-5                            32 3rd $2.10
#4 Celtic Chaos 5-1                          31 1st $13.80 Tri $57.48

Race 3 :

#2 Serene 10-1                                  19
#5 Ready Seeker 9-2                         19
#4 Editor At Large (IRE) 5-2           18 1st $4.20
#9 Domain Expertise 3-1                18 2nd $3.50

Race 4 :

#2 Road to Meath 4-5                      30 1st $3.80
#6 Kabob 8-1                                      27 2nd $7.20 Ex $24.60
#1 Larceny 6-1                                   26 3rd $2.50 Tri $54.48
#9 Revenio 6-1                                   25

Race 5 :

#6 Candy Tycoon 5-2                        34
#4 Per Capita 7-5                               33 1st $5.60
#3 Heirloom Kitten 6-1                     31 3rd $3.60
#2 Hunt the Front 4-1                       30 2nd $3.60

Race 6 :

#1 Topper T 9-2                                  29 1st $5.40
#1a Clench 9-2                                    28 1st $5.40
#8 Aristocratic 4-1                             28 2nd $5.60 Ex $22.40
#2b Wegotoldyougotsold 5-2           27 3rd $3.10 Tri $76.48

Race 7 :

#4 Tistaahal 12-1                                19
#2 Lovestruck 10-1                             18 1st $21.80
#6 Mrs Frankel (IRE) 6-1                   17
#9 Army Wife 3-1                                17 3rd $2.80

Race 8 :

#6 Olympico (FR) 4-1                        37
#5 Breaking the Rules 3-2                37 4th
#2 Largent 5-2                                    36 2nd $4.10
#4 Ballagh Rocks 8-1                         35 1st $17.00

Race 9 :

#6 Team Merchants 6-1                    18 1st $14.00
#3 Speaker’s Corner 8-5                    18 3rd $2.10
#1 Greatheart 20-1                             17 scratched
#7  Ten for Ten 10-1                           16 2nd $12.00 Tri $453

Race 10 :

#9 The Big S 8-1                                  30 2nd $5.90
#4 Binkster 8-5                                    29 scratched
#1 Ima Pharoah 4-1                            28
#6 Chase Tracker 15-1                        27

Race 11 :

#6 Mr. Kringle 4-1                               31 2nd $3.70
#3 Wild Banker 12-1                           30
#2 Quarterback Dak 9-2                     28
#10 Scanno 5-1                                     28 1st $12.20

Race 12 :

#3 Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) 2-1        33 4th
#1 Ever Dangerous 6-1                        32 scratched
#8 Succeedandsurpass (IRE) 9-2       31
#7 Proven Strategies 6-1                     30 1st $12.60

Race 13 :

#5 Reinvestment Risk 8-5                  32 2nd $2.30
#6 Jackie’s Warrior 7-5                        31 1st $5.70 Ex $12.60
#3 Mutasaabeq 5-2                              31 3rd $2.50 Tri $22.00
#7 Ampersand 20-1                             28 4th Spr $80.40

Race 14 :

#2 Star Decisis 7-2                               16
#3 Vicarage 8-1                                    15 2nd $8.80
#5 Bold Gem 8-1                                  15 3rd $2.90
#9 Mohjestic 4-1                                  14 4th

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.